Prediction is a lot like playing poker…so why do we treat it like it was a coin toss? Enter the Bayesians!
Bayes’ Theorem Illustrated (My Way), by komponisto - https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CMt3ijXYuCynhPWXa/bayes-theorem-illustrated-my-way
Conditional probability explained visually (Bayes’ Theorem), by Khan Academy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zxm4Xxvzohk
Critical Thinking Fundamentals - Bayes’s Theorem, by Wireless Philosophy - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OqmJhPQYRc8
A visual guide to Bayesian thinking, by Julia Galef - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BrK7X_XlGB8