143. Newcomb's Problem - Evidential and Causal Decision Theory

2018-05-09

Newcomb’s Problem: it’s like “Is a hotdog a sandwich?,” but WAY nerdier, with deep implications for rationality.

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NOTE: Thanks also to Rob Dufau for his help with this week’s episode!

Newcomb’s Problem And Two Principles Of Choice (Nozick, 1969) - http://faculty.arts.ubc.ca/rjohns/nozick_newcomb.pdf

Causal Decision Theory, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, 2016 - https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/decision-causal/

Causation in Decision Theory, by Jim Joyce - https://blogs.kent.ac.uk/jonw/files/2015/04/Joyce2008.pdf

Some Counterexamples to Causal Decision Theory (Egan, 2006) - http://andyegan.net/Andy_Egan/Papers_files/nocdt.2006.06.28.pdf

Newcombs problem, expected utility, and dominance, by Jeff Speaks - https://www3.nd.edu/~jspeaks/courses/2007-8/20229/_HANDOUTS/newcomb.pdf

Newcombs Problem and the tragedy of rationality, by Julia Galef - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KxJ6eTY9bA

Decision Theory FAQ, by lukeprog and crazy88 via LessWrong - https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zEWJBFFMvQ835nq6h/decision-theory-faq

Prisoners Dilemma is a Newcomb Problem (Lewis, 1979) - http://www.andrewmbailey.com/dkl/Prisoners_Dilemma.pdf

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